Blog #123: The Siren Song of “Buy Term and Invest the Difference”

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When I came into the business years ago, comparisons to “buy term and invest the difference” were easy.  That’s because term was so expensive, there wasn’t much difference.  One of the first things I learned was how to compare permanent with term so that the favored aspects of permanent were featured.  That technique was the genesis of the popular Term vs. Permanent module in the InsMark Illustration System.

I have written several Blogs comparing term insurance to permanent insurance.  Let me show you a new approach to challenging the myth of “buy term and invest the difference”.

Background

Tom and Courtney Johnson are neighbors and close friends.  Tom, age 40, is a golf course architect; Courtney, age 37, owns and runs a travel agency.  Their marginal state and federal income tax bracket is 45%.

Tom recently told me, “Bob, we decided to add that $1 million of life insurance we talked about.  The cost is way low if we buy 25-year level term insurance -- $970 a year for 25 years.”

I responded, “Would you like to compare that to an alternative that could save you millions?”

“Let’s see it!” Tom replied.

Case Study

This comparison is for those who have the cash flow to buy whatever kind of like insurance they want:

  • $1,000,000 of indexed universal life (IUL) illustrated at 7.00% with five scheduled premiums of $40,000.  After tax policy cash flow via a participating loan is scheduled to be $555,396 at Tom’s age 65 which leaves sufficient cash value for the policy to continue.
  • versus
  • $1,000,000 of 25-year level term with annual premiums of $970 coupled with a managed equity account with 7.00% growth and a 2.00% dividend using the same allocation as the IUL.  At the end of 25 years when the term insurance expires, the equity account develops a value of $555,396.

Click here for comments on the fee and tax drag assumptions used for the equity account.

Click here for comments on interest, growth, and Monte Carlo simulations.

At Tom’s age 65, the participating loan of $555,396 from the IUL is matched by a withdrawal of the same amount from the equity account causing it to collapse at the same time the term insurance expires.  (Due to a small amount of tax due on the equity withdrawal, the net realized from the equity account is slightly less than from the IUL ($548,130).

The participating loan provides Tom and Courtney with the identical funds that the equity account would have produced, but with the IUL still alive and well at age 65 with $176,687 of cash value remaining wrapped up in $475,992 of death benefit.  Those cash values increase to $4,355,723 in the remaining years illustrated.

That $4,355,723 million is lost forever to Tom and Courtney should they believe the siren song of “buy term and invest the difference”.

Below is a graphic of the comparison.

Indexed Universal Life
vs.
25-Year Level Term Insurance and an Equity Account
Image 1

indexed universal life vs 25 year level term insurance and an equity account graph

Click here to see the detailed numbers.  Pages 2 and 3 show the year-by-year comparative values.  Pages 9 and 11 show details of the equity account calculations with pertinent numbers outlined in red showing the cash flow occurring from the equity account at Tom’s age 65.

In order to match the cash value of the IUL, the equity account requires growth of 11.30% plus the dividend of 2.00% for a total required yield of 13.30% -- 90% greater than the IUL’s 7.00% interest assumption.  IUL is indeed a remarkable financial instrument.

Conclusion

For those with the cash flow to buy whatever kind of life insurance they want, it is not financially rational to buy term insurance and invest the difference.

The $4,355,723 million long-range cash value in Tom’s policy does not have to stay buried in a life insurance policy.  Through participating loans, it can also be a source of additional tax free retirement cash flow, or gifts to heirs, or gifts to charity.

Note:  See Blog #52 for a discussion of participating vs. fixed policy loans.

 

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Digital Workbook Files For This Blog

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Important Note #1:  The hypothetical life insurance illustration associated with this Blog assumes the nonguaranteed values shown continue in all years.  This is not likely, and actual results may be more or less favorable.  Actual illustrations are not valid unless accompanied by a basic illustration from the issuing life insurance company.

Important Note #2:  Many of you are rightly concerned about the potential tax bomb in life insurance that can accidentally be triggered by a careless policyowner.  Click here to read Blog #51: Avoiding the Tax Bomb in Life Insurance.